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US 2016 Presidential Election

this election year in America has been crazy. the bad kind of crazy.
I was watching Jack Black on the Today show this morning and he reckons that when the time comes, Trump won't win. I have been wondering if all who vote for Trump now are really lulling him into a false sense of security and then will Dump Trump at the appropriate time.
Hillary from what I'm hearing is lying through her teeth and that's pissing people off. The rest, apart from her and Trump are very low key in comparison. If she gets the nomination, do they go with what they know from her time as FLOTUS or go with the Donald? Crazy indeed.
 
Another state-by-state assessment:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/florida-ohio-democratic-primary-preview/
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/florida-ohio-republican-primary-preview/

Ohio looking interesting:

One complicating factor is that Gov. John Kasich is on the ballot in the Republican primary, and any voter can choose either a Democratic or Republican ballot. Although he’s a Republican, Kasich drew an amazingly high 43 percent approval rating from Democrats in the most recent Quinnipiac poll of the state. Don’t be surprised if some Democrats — in an effort to stop Donald Trump — vote for Kasich in the Republican primary instead. What effect would that have on the Democratic race? Your guess is as good as mine.

The importance of this primary to the larger Republican race is difficult to overstate. According to my math (and that of Republican Benjamin Ginsberg, who basically wrote the GOP’s delegate rules), Trump is unlikely to reach a majority of delegates needed to clinch the Republican nomination if he loses Ohio.

And one thing surprising me is how little polling is done in some states eg Missouri:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...uri_republican_presidential_primary-5605.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...uri_democratic_presidential_primary-5606.html

You would think with all the money spent on US presidential elections, that there would be more polling data available?
 
Someone told me they heard Rubio referred to as a moderate on the radio today. WTF?

So I was right, the focus on Trump being crazy really is giving people a false impression the other candidates were some what normal.
 
Someone told me they heard Rubio referred to as a moderate on the radio today. WTF?

So I was right, the focus on Trump being crazy really is giving people a false impression the other candidates were some what normal.

I think the 'moderate' label has been applied very loosely this election cycle. When you look at their track records on abortion as governors, Kasich and Bush especially wouldn't meet my definition of a moderate. Nor does Rubio, or many of the others the label has been applied to.
 
Interviewee US lawyer Jim Rickards said on ABC The Business that Hillary will face criminal charges in the next month and that Sanders wouldn't win by default, but Biden would be the Democrat contender. He was well spoken and seemed to be serious. Interesting stuff. I think she should be in trouble over the email server.
 
Interviewee US lawyer Jim Rickards said on ABC The Business that Hillary will face criminal charges in the next month and that Sanders wouldn't win by default, but Biden would be the Democrat contender. He was well spoken and seemed to be serious. Interesting stuff. I think she should be in trouble over the email server.


Over what?
 
Over what?
Running an email server from her house and deleting thousands of emails to cover it up. It's a legal requirement for all emails to be searchable by the CIA for transparency. The IT guy involved has been granted immunity and possibly a plea recently that would suggest something is brewing.
 
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Running an email server from her house and deleting thousands of emails to cover it up. It's a legal requirement for all emails to be searchable by the CIA for transparency. The IT guy involved has been granted immunity and possibly a plea recently that would suggest something is brewing.

Ok so that thing. Wasn't sure if there was something else.

I honestly would love it if Biden was the nomination. He's a class act.

I however doubt anything will come from the e-mail thing unless there's something else explosive. Although I do think it's total bullshit, I have no idea how much was underhanded, versus a colossal fuck up.
 
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