For me in the previous two seasons we didn't even really need to follow much SM, media clues because the edit made it really clear who was going to win.
It's all muddled this year though. Just on nothing but the current show as it's airing at the moment my gut says Snez, but she's not being edited as the winner at all. They're over emphasising the physical connection thing and in every series I've watched in the franchise whoever gets that edit never wins.
Likewise with Heather but on the opposite end of the spectrum...they've really over emphasised the friendship thing. I can't imagine their relationship is purely and only friendship because if that's what Sam felt he would have sent her home already the same way he did Jacinda. The friendship is what they want us to see though with the edit.
Sarah is a tricky one. She's been a bit invisible since early on. On one hand that may mean they're doing that deliberately to let her sneak under the radar but on the other it's not consistent with how they edited Sam Frost and Anna who basically narrated the show.
That's the only reason why I do think it's a possibility an intruder might win. The story seems disjointed at the moment. If an intruder does win though I have to wonder what the chances are of it lasting in the real world. The chances of any relationship lasting from the Bachelor are slim (I'm so impressed with Tim and Anna) but the new girls have only had half the time. Seems like if it's one of them it would be a selection based on initial infatuation rather than actually knowing them. We're already more than half way through.
