When might BBAU 2025 launch / timeslot

[Zcsund1234]

Well based off of what we know;

According to the Upfronts Article posted on Tv Tonight: Daniel Monaghan, SVP Content and Programming, Paramount Australia said: “2025 will showcase a super-charged schedule of addictive, premium content on 10, with fresh home-grown hits rolling out right off the bat in January starting with I’m A Celebrity Get Me Out Of Here! and continuing all the way through to December with Big Brother.'

We already had official confirmation that Big Brother is launching in Q4, and we have also been told that it will be on air some time in December. Since the 2025 ratings season ends in late November, I would assume the finale would most likely air somwhere around Monday the 2nd of December.

We also know that I'm a celebrity Launches Jan 19th. If the schedule is like last year than IMACGMOOH would likely finish on Sunday February 16th. And it is confirmed that Australian Survivor launches next. Likely Monday February 17th and if it follows the same schedule as 2024 then it may be expected to conlude on Tuesday April 8th. Then of course Masterchef in it's regular autumn/winter slot, likely to start Sunday April 13th and could finish around the time of July 7thish. Australian Survivor: Australia vs the World is also assumed to have 12 episodes which suggests that all of Ten's other flagship RTV shows will have finished by early August. And very likely as last year each of TEN's main programs aired instantly after another. Leaving around 17 weeks left of the 2025 ratings season still to go.

Even if Survivor is spread over an extra 1 or 2 weeks as well as Masterchef, or if there is an extra few weeks of other shows taking up 7:30, that is still approximately 12 weeks of spare room. I'm guessing TEN are going with a full 3 month season. 12 weeks seems very likely IMO. I could see an early September launch. So with an early December finish that would leave perfect room for a full 12 week season. A late August launch would push the 100 day mark, so I would guess thats not likely.

So since the series is said to be running until December, I think it's safe to expect the launch to be sometime in early September.

 

[James T]

So since the series is said to be running until December, I think it's safe to expect the launch to be sometime in early September.

I just don’t understand why they would intentionally put the finale outside the ratings year

 

[Brekkie]

Well based off of what we know;

According to the Upfronts Article posted on Tv Tonight: Daniel Monaghan, SVP Content and Programming, Paramount Australia said: “2025 will showcase a super-charged schedule of addictive, premium content on 10, with fresh home-grown hits rolling out right off the bat in January starting with I’m A Celebrity Get Me Out Of Here! and continuing all the way through to December with Big Brother.'

We already had official confirmation that Big Brother is launching in Q4, and we have also been told that it will be on air some time in December. Since the 2025 ratings season ends in late November, I would assume the finale would most likely air somwhere around Monday the 2nd of December.

We also know that I'm a celebrity Launches Jan 19th. If the schedule is like last year than IMACGMOOH would likely finish on Sunday February 16th. And it is confirmed that Australian Survivor launches next. Likely Monday February 17th and if it follows the same schedule as 2024 then it may be expected to conlude on Tuesday April 8th. Then of course Masterchef in it's regular autumn/winter slot, likely to start Sunday April 13th and could finish around the time of July 7thish. Australian Survivor: Australia vs the World is also assumed to have 12 episodes which suggests that all of Ten's other flagship RTV shows will have finished by early August. And very likely as last year each of TEN's main programs aired instantly after another. Leaving around 17 weeks left of the 2025 ratings season still to go.

Even if Survivor is spread over an extra 1 or 2 weeks as well as Masterchef, or if there is an extra few weeks of other shows taking up 7:30, that is still approximately 12 weeks of spare room. I'm guessing TEN are going with a full 3 month season. 12 weeks seems very likely IMO. I could see an early September launch. So with an early December finish that would leave perfect room for a full 12 week season. A late August launch would push the 100 day mark, so I would guess thats not likely.

So since the series is said to be running until December, I think it's safe to expect the launch to be sometime in early September.

I would expect at least one more format in Q3, whether that's one of Amazing Race / Hunted / Dessert Masters or something new, and there is always the odd week where for whatever reason (usually competition) they don't push out new content.

I just don’t understand why they would intentionally put the finale outside the ratings year

It's always been a strange concept that after a certain date the ratings don't really matter - complete rubbish of course. For those who still think it does though it's really only Seven or Nine that will care - Ten are a distant third and a key event falling outside it won't make any difference to that. Indeed if Seven and Nine have already effectively closed shop by the time the final airs it might actually benefit Ten and bring more eyeballs to it than had they aired it a couple of weeks earlier.

Personally I don't think they'll go much past it - I wouldn't rule it starting in October and ending in November. It's a balancing act from Ten in getting enough episodes out of it to make it pay and not pushing their luck just in case it doesn't hit in the way we hope it does. I could see them pencilling in a finish at the end of November then extending it a couple of weeks, or vice versa.

 

[BBAU25]

I just don’t understand why they would intentionally put the finale outside the ratings year

The launch and finale are the ratings hit.. they’ll have the biggest numbers of the series, I don’t know what 10 are thinking. They can see bb as a ratings show or they could cater for the all year round schedule (meaning jan-dec and show bb out of the ratings season to fill the hole)

 

[BBAU25]

would expect at least one more format in Q3, whether that's one of Amazing Race / Hunted / Dessert Masters or something new, and there is always the odd week where for whatever reason (usually competition) they don't push out new content.

Amazing race will be back this time next year, but depending if they schedule it for like 3 eps a week or if they do a DM and show it once a week.. hunted is still up in the air (it was almost axed but 10 decided this year is the make or break for the series)

Also depends how long 10s top 2 shows go for… MasterChef and survivor could be 3 months each and there’s 2 survivor seasons, so that could take up 9 months of the ratings season..

 

[BBAU25]

I think bb could take place of one of the survivor seasons in 2026… depending what they have in store with the house and how quickly they can turn it around.

 

[BBAU25]

Also you have to take into account the channel 7 “hold back clause” mid 2025 is June, so I’m not a lawyer and idk much about it, but if they can’t do anything will bb until that clause has run out… they will literally have to do a casting call the day after and start work on the production and house… if it started in September, that’s literally 2 months to get everything done…

If they could start on the house like say January 2025 that might be possible.. cause I think it will take 3-6 months for the house (if they go to the dreamworld compound days)

 

[James T]

The launch and finale are the ratings hit.. they’ll have the biggest numbers of the series, I don’t know what 10 are thinking. They can see bb as a ratings show or they could cater for the all year round schedule (meaning jan-dec and show bb out of the ratings season to fill the hole)

it’s such an expensive production, surely they would schedule it more strategically with the ratings year

 

[BB12]

Assuming ratings are high enough, and it's a massive hit, would it be in 10's best interest to bring the next season forward to say an April/May launch date like they used to? Or maybe June/July?

 

[BBAU25]

Assuming ratings are high enough, and it's a massive hit, would it be in 10's best interest to bring the next season forward to say an April/May launch date like they used to? Or maybe June/July?

I would say more like the 2nd half of the year… the first half has stiff competition and Masterchef really does well in that slot

 

[timmy]

They should just launch it mid September, regardless of the AFL and NRL finals. AFL is a Saturday anyway. They could defer an eviction from the NRL Sunday to the Monday instead. Just work around that. If it's an eight week season they could just squeeze it into the ratings period if they wanted. But as you guys have noted, the whole thing is going to be rushed to be staged after Seven's hold back ends. Unless they start construction of the house and do all the back end prep and hold off the rest until they have the all clear. Eight weeks seems so short, considering 10's first evictions weren't until the end of Week 2. They'll have to step that up for a shorter season.

 

[Brekkie]

I just don't get why any producer would agree to such a clause of more than 12 months - by the time Ten wants to goes to air it'll be nearly 3 years since Seven produced it's last series. As great as we think BB is I don't think it's so great it warrants such clauses, but both Nine and Seven seemed to have lock-out periods which were almost longer than when they actually aired it.

Other shows like The Voice have been able to move networks from one year to the next (and I think Seven poached that rather than Nine axing it), and really if it's the channel that axes it it's a pretty poor deal by the producers to then let that channel dictate the immediate future of the franchise, however much cash they get for a series that doesn't happen. It seems another example of how the Aussie networks are still so petty about their direct competitors and think it's the 1980s.

That said though it largely works in Ten's favour - the timing seems just about right to do it again with enough of a gap to not be seen as a continuation of the piss poor attempt by Seven - but also having Seven's version fresh enough in the memory that people remember how badly they did it and ensure Ten's revival should be seen positively.

 

[BBAU25]

I think

I just don't get why any producer would agree to such a clause of more than 12 months - by the time Ten wants to goes to air it'll be nearly 3 years since Seven produced it's last series. As great as we think BB is I don't think it's so great it warrants such clauses, but both Nine and Seven seemed to have lock-out periods which were almost longer than when they actually aired it.

7 did it because they knew 10 would jump on it straight away and they didn’t want to give 10 enough time to get it in 2025… that’s the way I see it.. but there could be a lot more to the story that hasn’t been released.

 

[James T]

I would say more like the 2nd half of the year… the first half has stiff competition and Masterchef really does well in that slot

I think it also worth pointing out that Survivor has 2 seasons green lit to air in 2025 which could be why Big Brother has been cucked in Q4

 

[BBAU25]

I think it also worth pointing out that Survivor has 2 seasons green lit to air in 2025 which could be why Big Brother has been cucked in Q4

The 2 survivor seasons has been talked about for a while, it was planned in advance before 10 got the rights to BB.. 10 only finalised the deal a day before the upfront.

 

[sav0001]

I would say more like the 2nd half of the year… the first half has stiff competition and Masterchef really does well in that slot

Well for 10 but its on the decline as well, most episodes rated in the 500-600k region this year

 

[James T]

Well for 10 but its on the decline as well, most episodes rated in the 500-600k region this year

They’re doing another all stars season next year but considering they’ve burnt through their pool of ex contestants that people actually remember it’s probably going to stay 500-600k total tv reach

 

[Brekkie]

It still baffles me how popular Masterchef was when it initially replaced Big Brother - didn't it's first series finale get around 4m viewers? That's a gamble that really paid off for Ten when most of us here at least felt like Big Brother had done well enough in 2008 to deserve another throw of the dice.

I'd imagine Ten will see it through at least until it's 20th season, mostly as with the Aussie market it seems to be a case that if you don't renew it for another series somebody else will. And I doubt Seven would be wanting to respect any lockout clause - they'd find a way around it.


Back to 2024 and I didn't realise Ten wasn't actually running a stripped schedule at the moment with new and different programming from Sun-Thu at 7.30pm - been a long time since I've seen an Aussie network doing that and the schedule looks all the better for it, though obviously that's not the model that works for the traditional Big Brother format.

 

[Zcsund1234]

I would expect at least one more format in Q3, whether that's one of Amazing Race / Hunted / Dessert Masters or something new, and there is always the odd week where for whatever reason (usually competition) they don't push out new content.

Yeah I anticipate that too. Once Survivor Aus vs The World ends there is still likely to be 17 weeks of the ratings year to go, so plenty of room for at least one of those to air, if not two simutaneously Sunday-Thursday even. Theres also room for a week of nothing new. If I had to bet, it will be Amazing Race that gets renewed if anything. Still, plenty of room for a decent sized BB season.

But to me Dessert Masters seems like a one off to fill in content. Masterchef has been known in the past to exhaust viewers with too many spin off seasons in the year. As for Hunted I haven't ever watched it or kept up with it's performance. I have no idea what it's fate looks like tbh.

I am of the opinion TEN are going to want a full length season. Nothing less than 9 weeks. It would be silly anyway to not try and take away viewers from the Block early on.

Amazing race will be back this time next year, but depending if they schedule it for like 3 eps a week or if they do a DM and show it once a week.. hunted is still up in the air (it was almost axed but 10 decided this year is the make or break for the series)

Also depends how long 10s top 2 shows go for… MasterChef and survivor could be 3 months each and there’s 2 survivor seasons, so that could take up 9 months of the ratings season..

Theres no confirmation on that just yet, BB being back comes across to me like TEN are willing to ditch TAR. I don't think Brains vs Brawn 2 is going to be spread over 3 months. It will more than likely be stripped over 8 weeks with 3 eps a week just as Titans vs Rebels was. And Aus vs The World will probably do the same just over 3 weeks instead of 8.

 

[sav0001]

It still baffles me how popular Masterchef was when it initially replaced Big Brother - didn't it's first series finale get around 4m viewers? That's a gamble that really paid off for Ten when most of us here at least felt like Big Brother had done well enough in 2008 to deserve another throw of the dice.

I'd imagine Ten will see it through at least until it's 20th season, mostly as with the Aussie market it seems to be a case that if you don't renew it for another series somebody else will. And I doubt Seven would be wanting to respect any lockout clause - they'd find a way around it.

Yep, the winner announcement that year had almost 4 million viewers and the following season was even bigger.