This is all Henry's fault. He took a winning tribe and screwed it by playing too hard, too fast, too soon - way too soon. Asanger would have had the numbers going into the merge if he hadn't voted off strong physical players too early, and then volunteered to go over to Summertowel - where Locky was on the outs and would've been voted out ages ago, were it not for the fortuitous arrival and support of Henry. ARGH!
Plus Luke, or any number of more interesting players, would have had a chance at winning if they'd kept playing as they were, without Henry's attempts at sabotage and bizarre targets at Tribal, a stronger tribe premerge, and without the bulk of the jury being Summertowels.